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Country evenly split on preferred main party coalition leader

19 Nov 11

Country evenly split on preferred main party coalition leader
Voters split evenly on National-Labour led coalition preferences

The country is now evenly split on which main party is preferred to lead a coalition government if one is required after Saturday’s general election. A 5.5% preference lead for National has closed completely since October 29.

 

41.5% now want a Labour-led government, 41.1% a National-led one.

 

 

Overall, would you prefer a Labour-led government or a National-led government after the 26 November 2011 general election?
 
 
 

A.

Labour-led
 

41.5%

B.

National-led
 

41.1%

C.

I'm not sure
 

17.4%

 

The first HorizonPoll of the 2011 election campaign, conducted among 887 voters between October 26 and 28,  showed 42.1% preferred a National-led government, 36.6% a Labour-led one (a 5.5% gap).

 

These are results for an HorizonPoll of 3006 people of voting age, conducted between 9 am Wednesday and 8.52 pm 19 Saturday (November 16-19). Weighted by age, gender, ethnicity, personal income, education qualification and party vote 2008, the poll has a maximum margin of error of +/- 1.8%.

 

The results give New Zealand First, Green and Maori Party party leaders a firm steer: 66% of NZ First voters, 82.6% of Green and 54.6% of Maori Party voters prefer a Labour-led coalition.

 

87% of Act voters want a National led colaition, while 40.1% of United Future supporters are not sure, 34.4% prefer National and 25.4% Labour.

 

Preference by 2008 party vote:

 

Overall, would you prefer a Labour-led government or a National-led government after the 26 November 2011 general election?
 

Total

Labour

National

Not sure

 
         

 

ALL

3006

41.1%

41.5%

17.4%

 
 

 

PARTY VOTE 2008

 

ACT New Zealand

3%

5.6%

87.3%

7.1%

 

Chose not to vote

15%

39.8%

27.5%

32.7%

 

Don't know or can't remember

10%

37.2%

22.3%

40.5%

 

Green Party

5%

82.6%

9.4%

7.9%

 

Jim Anderton's Progressive Party

1%

54.2%

16.7%

29%

 

Labour Party

25%

78.5%

9.3%

12.2%

 

Maori Party

2%

54.6%

21.6%

23.8%

 

National Party

34%

9.8%

82%

8.2%

 

New Zealand First Party

3%

66.2%

12.4%

21.4%

 

Other party

1%

25.2%

48.8%

26%

 

United Future

1%

25.4%

34.4%

40.2%