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Research Results

MMP: 50% say keep it

23 Nov 11

Credit: Horizon and Crown
MMP: 50% say keep it
Removing the 'don't know' response option lifts keep-MMP vote to 50% overall and 56% of formal votes cast

56% of votes cast in this weekend's referendum will be to keep the Mixed Member Proportional (MMP) system.

 

Overall, 50% will vote for it, 39.8% against, while 10.1% say they won’t vote on this question in the booths on Saturday, according to a RadioLIVE-HorizonPoll covering 2,701 adults. 56% of formal votes will be to keep MMP.

 

Should New Zealand keep the Mixed Member Proportional (MMP) voting system?
 
 

 

A.

I will vote to keep the MMP voting system
 

50.1%

B.

I will vote to change to another system
 

39.8%

C.

I will not vote on this question at the election
 

10.1%

The most favoured alternative to MMP, if New Zealand does vote to change the system is

 

First Past the Post (FPP) with 24.2% followed by Single Transferable Vote (STV) with 20.9%.

 

 

Which of the following voting systems will you choose?
 
   
   
 
   
 
 

A.

I will choose the First Past the Post system (FFP)
 

24.2%

B.

I will choose the Preferential Voting system (PV)
 

10%

C.

I will choose the Single Transferable Vote system (STV)
 

20.9%

D.

I will choose the Supplementary Member System (SM)
 

15.6%

E.

I will not vote on this question at the election
 

29.3%

 

The most favoured alternative to MMP, if New Zealand does vote to change the system is

 

First Past the Post (FPP) with 24.2% followed by Single Transferable Vote (STV) with 20.9%.

 

 

Which of the following voting systems will you choose?
 
   
   
 
   
 
 

A.

I will choose the First Past the Post system (FFP)
 

24.2%

B.

I will choose the Preferential Voting system (PV)
 

10%

C.

I will choose the Single Transferable Vote system (STV)
 

20.9%

D.

I will choose the Supplementary Member System (SM)
 

15.6%

E.

I will not vote on this question at the election
 

29.3%

 

If there is a vote to change the voting system MMP and the most favoured alternative system will be the subject of another referendum at the time of the 2014 general election.

 

The HorizonPoll firstly allowed voters to say “don’t know” when answering if they wanted to keep MMP or change the voting system.

 

It found 44.1% support for MMP, 34.3% support for change and that 21.6% said they were undecided.

 

In a subsequent question, when respondents were asked to imagine they were in the voting booth and there was no option to say “don’t know”, the result firmed to 50% for keeping MMP and 39.8% wanting voting system change.

 

Results when allowed an undecided option:

 

Should New Zealand keep the Mixed Member Proportional (MMP) voting system?
 
 

 

A.

New Zealand should keep MMP
 

44.1%

B.

New Zealand should change to a different system
 

34.3%

C.

I am undecided
 

21.6%

The survey was conducted between 7.38am Tuesday 22 November and 8.36am Wednesday 23 November, 2011.Weighted by age, gender, ethnicity, educational qualification, personal income and party vote 2008 to provide a representative sample of the New Zealand population aged 18+, the maximum margin of error at a 95% confidence level is +/- 1.9%.

 

The survey is continuing until electoral law stops polling at midnight Thursday 24 November.

 

Other earlier HorizonPoll and DigiPoll results on MMP are here